Wisconsin voters elected a liberal justice to the state supreme court on Tuesday, expanding the court’s liberal majority in a race that continued a pattern Democrats have been quietly building since 2025: consistently outperforming their presidential race margins in every special and off-cycle election that comes up.

The pattern started in 2025 and has continued without interruption. Democrats are winning races in competitive states, flipping seats in districts that went for Trump in 2024, and doing it in low-turnout environments where motivated opposition voters typically dominate.