MTG's Seat Went Republican by 12 Points. In MTG's District, That's a Warning Sign.
Republican Clay Fuller won the special election in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District, replacing Marjorie Taylor Greene, who resigned after breaking with Trump over Gaza, healthcare costs, and the Epstein files.
Fuller is a lieutenant colonel in the Georgia Air National Guard and a former White House fellow during Trump’s first term. He beat Democrat Shawn Harris.
The margin: under 12 points. In a district Trump carried by 37 points in 2024.
That’s a 25-point swing. It doesn’t flip the seat, and Fuller’s win preserves the Republican majority, but a 25-point swing in a safe Republican district ahead of November’s midterms is exactly the kind of data point strategists pay attention to.
Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, Appeals Judge Chris Taylor won a 10-year term on the state Supreme Court — a race framed as a referendum on abortion rights and judicial independence. Democrats had targeted the seat.
November is seven months away. The structural indicators are not trending well for House Republicans.